NFL player prop bets for Week 8 and beyond

Odds: Aaron Rodgers (-160) | Jared Goff (+120)

Rodgers is averaging 333 pass yards per game. Goff is averaging 304 pass yards per contest, but just 201.5 yards in his past two because running back Todd Gurley is a machine. For all their defensive liabilities, Green Bay has held opposing quarterbacks to 193 passing yards per game over the past three. The Packers are 10-point underdogs in this game, which projects they'll be playing from behind. Thus, more Rodgers pass attempts late.

The Bet: Rodgers

Odds: Over 90.5 | Under 90.5

Le'Veon Bell is nowhere to be found. So, the James Conner show rolls on for another week. When the talented second-year back out of Pittsburgh faced Cleveland in Week 1 under wet and sloppy conditions, he posted 31 carries for 135 yards with two touchdowns and chipped in five receptions for 57 more yards. He's averaged better than 110 rush yards per game over the past two games and is coming off his BYE week well-rested. Cleveland's defense, though improved, has allowed 134.7 rush yards per game this season and 113 rush yards per game over their past three games.

The Bet: OVER

Favorites: Mayfield (+130) | Barkley (+120) | Darnold (+700)

While the Browns and Jets appear to be on the rise, the Giants are in sell now and play for 2019-and-beyond mode. This may hurt Barkley's chances if they want to protect their first-round draft pick investment down the stretch. On the flip side, Barkley looks to be the most consistent producer of the top three favorites. He's elusive and does not go down after first contact. 

The Bet: Barkley

Odds: Over 65.5 | Under 65.5

For the first time, in a long time, Detroit's offense features a lead running back. Rookie Kerryon Johnson ranks second in the NFL in yards per rush at 6.4 per attempt. Seattle's rush defense has allowed 72-or-more rush yards to opposing running back committees in four of the team's six games and 121 rush yards per contest this season.

The Bet: OVER

Odds: Over 62.5 | Under 62.5

Through the first month of the season, Boyd averaged better than 87 receiving yards per game. Ever since Tyler Eifert's season-ending injury, a span of three games, his yards per game average has dipped to 44.3. Granted, the Buccaneers pass defense is atrocious and this is an uber-friendly matchup for the struggling receiver. However, I think Boyd falls just shy of cracking 63-or-more yards.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Over 89.5 (-130) | Under 89.5 (-110)

Through seven games, Johnson's season-high, single game rushing total is 71 yards. The good news is he does have favorable matchups coming up on the schedule. Kansas City, Oakland, Detroit and Atlanta all rank in the bottom 12 against the rush. He'll post 90-or-more rush yards in one of those so long as he - and his offensive line -are healthy.

The Bet: OVER

Did you know Andrew Luck ranks second in the NFL with 20 touchdown passes in seven games and has thrown 15 in his last four? The Raiders secondary has allowed nearly two passing touchdowns per game with only four interceptions this season and, after moving some more assets this week, appear to be in fire sale mode. After missing a few games due to an injured hamstring, Hilton returned to catch two touchdowns on four targets against the Bills. I think he keeps it rolling at Oakland.

The Bet: YES

Odds: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

The Chiefs tight end has caught five passes in each of his past three games. The last time he faced the Broncos was at Denver back in Week 4 when he finished with seven receptions for 78 yards and a touchdown. After averaging 9-10 targets per game during September, that metric has dipped to 7-8 targets over the past three weeks. The Broncos secondary has only allowed one team's tight end committee to finish with more than five receptions in a game this year - Kansas City's.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Yes +300 | No -500

With less than a minute to go in his 103rd NFL game, Justin Tucker was 222-for-222 on extra points. His first miss came in the closing seconds of a 24-23 loss to the New Orleans Saints last weekend. Ever since the NFL moved the extra point attempt distance farther back, kickers around the league have struggled. Inaccuracy has cost many their jobs. Tucker is safe, but it won't be his only miss.

The Bet: YES

Favorites: Mahomes (+250) | Gurley (+500) | Brees (+500)

The top three favorites to win the 2018 NFL MVP are all integral parts of explosive offenses. Patrick Mahomes has thrown 22 touchdowns with only five interceptions. Todd Gurley leads the NFL in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns by a large margin. He's also averaging 39 receiving yards per game with three more scores. All Drew Brees did was break Peyton Manning's NFL record for passing yards earlier this season, average 312 passing yards per game and he has yet to throw an interception.

The Bet: Gurley and the undefeated Rams

Odds: Yes +115 | No -155

The body language of the Browns coaching staff is worth 1,000 words and several dozen losses over the past three seasons. Yet, the Browns are proving time and time again this season that parity in the NFL does indeed exist. The easy way out would be to bet "NO," but with Cleveland's defense leading the NFL in forced turnovers, these dogs will keep games close. 

The Bet: YES

Odds: Over 3 (-120) | Under 3 (-120)

Through seven games, Cowboys receivers - not including Ezekiel Elliott - have caught seven touchdowns passes. Cooper isn't the be-all answer to Dallas' anemic offense, but I do believe he and Dak can get something cooking a few weeks from now after the young receiver gets acclimated. Just because the Raiders quit on the 2018 season doesn't mean we should quit on Cooper's ability to spark this offense.

The Bet: Over

Odds: Over 24.5 (+325) | Under 24.5 (-550)

Trubisky has single rush attempts of 39 yards, 28 yards and 26 yards in each of the past three games, respectively. This is a sucker bet on the over and the juice is pretty steeped on the under. The visiting New York Jets defense ranks in the bottom 12 in sacks, which would lead some to believe the pocket pressure won't be overly hectic.

The Bet: Under

Odds: Yes +200 | No -300

The Raiders, Giants and Cardinals are sinking ships playing for 2019 and beyond. So, reports surfaced earlier this week that Peterson wanted to be traded. He later Tweeted a statement that said he's frustrated, but wants to be part of the solution. Well, the front office may think that solution involves moving a top asset to get better in the future. Most playoff caliber teams around the NFL could use an upgrade in the defensive secondary. That's why the Saints traded for Eli Apple. I think Peterson gets dealt.

The Bet: Yes

Odds: Yes +600 | No -1200

Adam Thielen has racked up 102-or-more receiving yards in each of the Vikings first seven games. This prop bet would require him to post nine more weeks of 100-or-more receiving yards. It's easy to be cynical and say "No chance!," but you'd have to lay down $1,200 for a chance to win $100. On the flip side, if you think Thielen does accomplish the unthinkable, you'd win only $600 on a $100 bet. The only people who win on this prop are oddsmakers and sports books.

The Bet: No Action (OK, OK, no chance)