Matt Barkley, seen above, might be in his last season at USC if Lane Kiffin is to be believed. And, why not? Due to the Trojans' postseason ban, Kiffin will be letting the offense free again this season so Barkley will have plenty of chances to wow NFL scouts this season. But will he?
You know we don't think much of QB rating here, so let's get it out of the way. Barkley improved from a 131.32 to a 141.18 passer rating from his Freshman season to his Sophomore season. That's not a really big jump and those numbers shouldn't wow you anyway. You know why? Syracuse's Greg Paulus had a 132.6 passer rating in 2009. Georgia's Joe Cox had a 136.3. Last season, Barkley was ranked just ahead of Taylor Potts in passer rating even though Potts had more yards and TDs and had a higher completion percentage and lower number of INTs. Ok, so the passer rating is still a strange creature.
Let's look at his Positive Impact Factor numbers instead. Barkley turned in a 39.7 in 2009 and a 39.1 in 2010. That's right, he basically had the same season. He's basically still the same QB who doesn't rank amongst the top 50 in the FBS. If his number skyrocketed this season, that would be shocking to me as most guys are what they are when it comes to the Positive Impact Factor. From 2009 to 2010, his rate of INTs went down, his rate of TDs went up, but so did his percentage of fumbles lost. After two seasons as a starter Barkley is still about 6 overall points behind what Mark Sanchez turned in during his Junior year.